Will the winner of the 2024 presidential election get exactly 270 electoral votes?
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Ṁ566resolved Nov 6
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Currently, if every state except Nevada, which is on a knife's edge, goes according to Nate Silver's model, Harris will win with exactly 270 electoral votes, by winning all the rust belt swing states while losing all the sun belt ones.
This market resolves YES if the winner, whoever it is, gets exactly 270 electoral votes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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