Will the 2024 US presidential election be within 200,000 votes (for electors to the Electoral College)?
30
1kṀ9136resolved Dec 12
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The United States has a recent history of extremely close presidential elections.
In 2016, Donald Trump won against Hillary Clinton by less than 80,000 votes between Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin (Washington Post).
In 2000, George Bush famously won against Al Gore by only a few hundred votes in the state of Florida.
This question resolves YES if 200,000 votes or less (i.e. the total vote difference between the top two candidates) distributed over any number of states/districts, would have made the difference between one presidential candidate or the other winning by electors to the Electoral College.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ434 | |
2 | Ṁ285 | |
3 | Ṁ269 | |
4 | Ṁ195 | |
5 | Ṁ107 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?
3% chance
Open Answer: What will be the (absolute) Electoral College margin in the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will there be an electoral college majority in the 2028 US Presidential Election?
90% chance