Will any candidate receive a prime number of electoral votes in 2024?
Basic
9
Ṁ605resolved Dec 18
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any candidate receives a prime number of electoral votes in the 2024 US presidential election, and NO otherwise. This market WILL use the results AFTER taking faithless electors into account.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any candidate win a majority of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
2% chance
Will any candidate receive a record number of votes in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
52% chance
Will a third party candidate receive an electoral college vote in 2024?
1% chance
Will an Independent candidate receive 1+ electoral votes in 2024 Presidential Election?
2% chance
Will third-party candidates receive 5% or more of the presidential vote in 2024?
1% chance
Will a single independent candidate get more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election?
1% chance
Will the candidate who wins the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election become president?
98% chance
Will the Democratic candidate's popular vote exceed Republican candidate's popular vote in 2024 Presidential election?
1% chance
How many electoral college votes will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election receive?
Will the 2028 U.S. presidential election end with no candidate breaking the 270-vote barrier?
25% chance