Will any candidate receive a prime number of electoral votes in 2024? | Manifold

Will any candidate receive a prime number of electoral votes in 2024?

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9

Ṁ605

resolved Dec 18

Resolved

NO

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1W

1M

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Resolves YES if any candidate receives a prime number of electoral votes in the 2024 US presidential election, and NO otherwise. This market WILL use the results AFTER taking faithless electors into account.

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Democratic Party

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looks like the result will be 312-226 before faithless electors.

so this is likely to resolve YES if Trump loses exactly 1 or 5 faithless electors, or if Harris loses exactly 3 faithless electors.

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