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It closed two hours ago, seemingly due to a bug in the script meant to detect the mining of a bitcoin block ending in 00. However, it will probably be reopened, since this wasn't the intended way for it to close, so this market won't resolve yet.

It's currently at 69%, and it could close at any moment...

@evergreenemily Welp, as I was typing that comment it dropped to 66%. Darn.

I wonder how much the existence of this market increases the probability that it will actually happen.

@JosephNoonan it depends how much action I get on my bid here