An experiment in crowd dynamics using bet sizes.

TLDR: The YES side wins if they each bet an average >=1K mana each, excluding YES users that bet >3K or <10 mana (this can be found on the Trades tab or API, not the Positions tab)

This means richer YES users can bet >1000 mana to help cover poorer YES users. But the 3K limitation means they can only 'cover' a limited number of others. If too many people try to take advantage of this generosity by betting YES with less than 1000, the YES team will fail.

If you bet 10-3000 mana YES on this market, you are contributing toward the YES team's average and betting on the outcome.

If you bet 3001 or more mana on this market, you are betting on the outcome, but you are not counted toward the YES team's average. The same applies to YES traders who bet under 10 mana.

If you bet NO you are betting on the outcome of the market but not impacting the YES team's average per person.

I reserve the right to N/A if i deem shenanigans have compromised the integrity of the answers or spirit of the question.

Shares version: /strutheo/resolves-at-1k-traders-to-no-unless