Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
4
420Ṁ117resolved Mar 12
ResolvedN/A
80%Other
4%
Donald Trump
7%
Ron DeSantis
1.6%
Nikki Haley
1.6%
Tim Scott
1.7%
Brian Kemp
1.7%
Glenn Youngkin
1.7%
Greg Abbott
1.7%
Rick Scott
Resolves to whoever is nominated as the Republican Party's U.S. presidential candidate at the Republican National Convention in 2028.
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Resolving this one N/A so no one bets on it thinking it's the new type. You can bet on one with a better mechanism here:
sold Ṁ3 N/A1y
Any interest in NA-ing this and other low-traders multichoice markets using the old parimutuel market mechanic?
@PlasmaBallin Generally people prefer the new market type, and newbies will get frustrated and confused if they bet on this one and it doesn't work the way they expect.
No pressure, though. Feel free to keep it open for science purposes.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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