Nate Silver vs. Allan Lichtman stock | Manifold

Nate Silver vs. Allan Lichtman stock

Basic

10

Ṁ216

10000

Nate Silver70%

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Never resolves. Trade based on sentiment.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

I think Allan knows way more about actual politics and the history of it. He even teaches it at the university. But then he isn't really a gambler or statistician. Nate Silver might be better at actual math.

Related questions

Risky Business (Nate Silver & Maria Konnikova podcast) prop bets

Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?

Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2026 elections?

Will Nate Silver be involved in a major scandal in 2024?

Will Manifold think Nate Silver had a bad take before the end of 2024?

Will Nate Silver win the third contest? Manifold will decide the answer. Manifold will decide the best funniest answer,

Will Nate Silver predict the election better than 538, according to a statistical analysis such as a Brier score?

Will Nate Silver "Sell or license his 2024 election model to a third-party media company"?

Related questions

Risky Business (Nate Silver & Maria Konnikova podcast) prop bets

Will Manifold think Nate Silver had a bad take before the end of 2024?

Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Nate Silver win the third contest? Manifold will decide the answer. Manifold will decide the best funniest answer,

Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?

Will Nate Silver predict the election better than 538, according to a statistical analysis such as a Brier score?

Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2026 elections?

Will Nate Silver "Sell or license his 2024 election model to a third-party media company"?

Will Nate Silver be involved in a major scandal in 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules