Will McCarthy last longer than Liz Truss (until Feb 26)?
26
18
610
resolved Feb 27
Resolved
YES

Liz Truss served as Prime Minister of the UK from 2022 Sep 6 – Oct 25. This was just 50 days, making her the shortest-serving prime minister in the history of the United Kingdom.

Kevin McCarthy was just elected the US Speaker of the House on 2023 Jan 7. Will he last longer in his position than Liz Truss did in hers?

This question resolves YES if Kevin McCarthy has never been removed from his Speakership (including resignations) as of the end of 2023 February 26 (EST). This question resolves NO otherwise.

I will be trading on this market because it resovles by clearly objective sources. (Whereas I will not trade on any market I create if the market is subjective.)

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ74
2Ṁ45
3Ṁ42
4Ṁ27
5Ṁ20
Sort by:
predicted YES

I think he lasted longer than Truss

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Peter Wildeford

@lxeagle17 https://manifold.markets/PeterWildeford/will-mccarthy-last-longer-than-liz

I think you should add "(50 days)" to the title.

predicted NO
bought Ṁ10 of NO

I assume resigning counts, right?

predicted NO

@Conflux yes, added

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Peter Wildeford

Via @ManifoldMarkets I ask the question on everyone's mind: can McCarthy outlast Liz Truss? https://manifold.markets/PeterWildeford/will-mccarthy-last-longer-than-liz

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Peter Wildeford

Via @ManifoldMarkets I ask the question on everyone's mind: can McCarthy outlast Liz Truss? https://manifold.markets/PeterWildeford/will-mccarthy-last-longer-than-liz

Added M100 in liquidity