Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour Party for longer than Tony Blair did?
15
110Ṁ7832033
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tony Blair became leader of the Labour Party on 21st July 1994 and held that position until 24th June 2007, 4,721 days.
Keir Starmer became leader of the Labour Party on 4th April 2020. Market resolves YES if he remains leader on March 9th, 2033, having held the position for 4,722 days. Resolves NO if he leaves the position sooner, for any reason.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
29% chance
Will Keir Starmer's net favourability rating be higher at the end of 2025 than it was at the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
36% chance
Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
30% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031?
10% chance
When will Keir Starmer stop being leader of the Labour Party?
9/8/27
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
11% chance
If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
38% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
22% chance