Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
24
Ṁ1kṀ3.7k
2030
21%
2029
18%
2028
16%
2027
8%
2026
2%
2025

Each year resolves:

  • YES if the USA and China were at war at any point in that year.

  • NO at the end of that year otherwise.

I won't bet.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ52 NO

You can resolve 2025

resolve 2024?

2023 should resolve NO.

Resolution terms insufficiently clear to merit investment.