Will USA and China be at war in the following years? (Pick all that apply)
27
Ṁ1.1kṀ3.9k2031
0.2%
2024
1.4%
2025
8%
2026
16%
2027
13%
2028
12%
2029
14%
2030
Resolves to YES if China and the USA are at war in any day of the given year, NO otherwise.
Multiple choices are absolutely allowed.
For example, a war from April 2025 to June 2027 would pay out YES for entries 2025, 2026 and 2027, no for the rest.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be an armed conflict between China and the US before the end of 2030?
23% chance
Will the US and China go to war this century?
47% chance
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
Will there be a war between the United States and China before 2040?
40% chance
Will USA or China win in a war against each other?
Will there be a war between the US and China this century?
40% chance
Will there be a war between the United States and China before 2035?
50% chance
Will China launch a war on the US by 2028?
15% chance
Will there be a war between the United States and China before 2030?
20% chance
Will any of the following western countries go to war with each other before 2030?
8% chance