Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Basic
8
Ṁ1842026
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force
Chinese Armed Forces: People's Liberation Army Ground Force, People's Liberation Army Navy, People's Liberation Army Air Force, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, People's Liberation Army Strategic Support Force, People's Armed Police (including China Coast Guard), Militia of China (including the Maritime Militia)
Resolves YES if it is clear that one side has directly caused a fatality in the other
Please note that a member of one side's armed forces causing a 'civilian' (ie not a member of forces listed here) fatality will not result in a YES resolution by itself
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?
51% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2025?
10% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?
40% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
55% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?
62% chance
Will China and the Philippines have a conflict in the South China Sea that results in at least one death before 2025?
15% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?
25% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
72% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
20% chance
Will a Taiwanese, US, Filipino, Japanese or Vietnamese servicemember die confronting the China's military before 2025?
10% chance