
In Jan. 2024, what % will believe that "Manifold.markets will be shut down by 2030"?
12
270Ṁ151resolved Jan 26
Resolved as
21%1D
1W
1M
ALL
A poll will be taken on Jan 1st 2024 to determine whether most people believe the Manifold markets site will be alive in 2030. The outcome of this market will resolve as PROB based on the percent of respondents who believe Manifold.markets will no longer be up by 2030.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ7 | |
2 | Ṁ4 | |
3 | Ṁ4 | |
4 | Ṁ3 | |
5 | Ṁ3 |
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold IPO by 2030?
16% chance
How many Manifold markets will close on January 1st, 2030?
At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
66% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?
94% chance
Will Manifold Markets be insolvent before 2030?
15% chance
At the beginning of 2030, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
73% chance
At the beginning of 2029, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
77% chance
At the beginning of 2028, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
67% chance
At the beginning of 2035, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
73% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)
59% chance