In Jan. 2024, what % will believe that "Manifold.markets will be shut down by 2030"?

8

closes Jan 1

38%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Amount

Ṁ0

Ṁ50

Ṁ100

Payout if YES

Ṁ25 +156.8%

New probability

40% +3%

A poll will be taken on Jan 1st 2024 to determine whether most people believe the Manifold markets site will be alive in 2030. The outcome of this market will resolve as *PROB** *based on the percent of respondents who believe Manifold.markets will no longer be up by 2030.

Get Ṁ500 play money

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In Jan. 2024, what % will believe that "Manifold.markets will be shut down by 2030"?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition