Will the Israeli military kill 100 or more Palestinian children by the end of 2023?
27
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530
resolved Oct 10
Resolved
YES

As of September, the total number of confirmed Palestinian child fatalities for 2023 at the hands of Israeli armed forces was between 38 and 47, depending on source and exact date. Save The Children gives the 2022 tally as 45. I will be counting children from both Gaza and the West Bank, and I will be considering any established source without a record of substantially embelishing or downplaying their tally. Unicef, Save the Children, Palestine Chronicle, and so on.

If the number for 2023 stops at just about 100 as the year ends, I will take due diligence to make sure this market resolves accurately after closure. If the tally goes well over 100, I will resolve it early as Yes.

https://www.savethechildren.net/news/2023-marks-deadliest-year-record-children-occupied-west-bank

https://www.palestinechronicle.com/these-are-the-palestinian-children-killed-by-the-israeli-army-in-2023-updated/

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predicted YES

The latest low-bound new fatality estimates now sum with the pre-war low-bound estimate to total over 100, so I am resolving.

sold Ṁ10 of NO

Palestine's Ministry of Health is at 78 so far. For example, cited by CNN here.

predicted YES

it’s gonna be a lot more than 100…

predicted YES

@dittopoop Likely true. I need to gather my wits and make a new market. (this one will run its course normally)

predicted YES

@Panfilo On further consideration, I will keep this market up but leave further speculation to other parties. The immediate skyrocketing of this market is point enough in itself.

predicted YES

@dittopoop Fucking hell...

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