Will Russia formally cede Crimea before 2025?
7
closes 2024
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ51 +418.2%
New probability
21% +4%
This market resolves Yes if Russia officially states that Crimea is not part of Russia anymore before January 1, 2025. This question is not about actual control or third-party recognition.
See also:
Get Ṁ500 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
0 YES payouts
Ṁ25



Related questions
Will Russian military or security forces engage in a shootout with a military opponent in Moscow during 2023?