No ceasefire in 2025: resolves NO Must be officially reported by credible sources, a rogue action or report is not enough. Both sides must resume the war for a YES resolution.

No — resolved on Jan 1, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.

Will Russia/Ukraine break their ceasefire before the end of 2025?

Ṁ1kṀ12k

resolved Jan 1

Resolved

ALL

No ceasefire in 2025: resolves NO
Must be officially reported by credible sources, a rogue action or report is not enough.
Both sides must resume the war for a YES resolution.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

Sort by:

@10thOfficial Can resolve NO - also, consider duplicating it for 2026!

if a 30 day ceasefire ends and they resume war, this doesn't count as "breaking" the ceasefire, right?