Will Russia formally cede Crimea before 2030? | Manifold

Will Russia formally cede Crimea before 2030?

15

1kṀ997

2029

16%

chance

1H

6H

1D

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1M

ALL

This market resolves Yes if Russia officially states that Crimea is not part of Russia anymore before January 1, 2030. This question is not about actual control or third-party recognition.

See also:

Ukraine-Russia war

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