Will Russia formally cede Crimea before 2030?
Plus
13
αΉ8972029
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves Yes if Russia officially states that Crimea is not part of Russia anymore before January 1, 2030. This question is not about actual control or third-party recognition.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?
5% chance
Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?
48% chance
Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?
25% chance
Will Russia formally cede Crimea before 2025?
1% chance
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2030?
34% chance
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?
18% chance
Russia collapses before 2030
25% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
45% chance
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2026?
37% chance
Will Russia pay any reparations to Ukraine by 2030?
30% chance