Will the Doomsday Clock next move be forward?
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The Doomsday Clock is an informal assessment of how close humanity is to global catastrophe ("midnight"). The clock was first described in 1947, and is now updated annually by the Bulletin for the Atomic Scientist. While the clock historically moved largely on the basis of nuclear weapons and war, in recent years the Bulletin has also cited climate change and "disruptive technologies" in its risk assessments.
The next time the clock changes, will it move forward (towards midnight)? Resolves YES if so, resolves NO if not. The clock must move to resolve this question, if it remains at the same position (as in 2021 and 2022) this question will remain open. In the event that the clock is discontinued, resolves N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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