Will the Doomsday Clock next move be forward?
Standard
64
Ṁ10kFeb 2
85%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Doomsday Clock is an informal assessment of how close humanity is to global catastrophe ("midnight"). The clock was first described in 1947, and is now updated annually by the Bulletin for the Atomic Scientist. While the clock historically moved largely on the basis of nuclear weapons and war, in recent years the Bulletin has also cited climate change and "disruptive technologies" in its risk assessments.
The next time the clock changes, will it move forward (towards midnight)? Resolves YES if so, resolves NO if not. The clock must move to resolve this question, if it remains at the same position (as in 2021 and 2022) this question will remain open. In the event that the clock is discontinued, resolves N/A.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight in/by January 2025?
86% chance
Will the Doomsday clock remain unchanged this year?
56% chance
What will be the reason cited the next time the doomsday clock moves closer to midnight?
What will be the reason cited the next time the doomsday clock moves closer to midnight?
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
47% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?
27% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
30% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 10 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
37% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?
42% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?
41% chance