Will the Doomsday Clock next move be forward?
50
611
Ṁ8.2KṀ890
Sep 7
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Doomsday Clock is an informal assessment of how close humanity is to global catastrophe ("midnight"). The clock was first described in 1947, and is now updated annually by the Bulletin for the Atomic Scientist. While the clock historically moved largely on the basis of nuclear weapons and war, in recent years the Bulletin has also cited climate change and "disruptive technologies" in its risk assessments.
The next time the clock changes, will it move forward (towards midnight)? Resolves YES if so, resolves NO if not. The clock must move to resolve this question, if it remains at the same position (as in 2021 and 2022) this question will remain open. In the event that the clock is discontinued, resolves N/A.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will there be a negative leap second by end of 2035?
51% chance
Will the U.S. government make any moves in favor of permanent Daylight Savings Time by the end of 2024?
19% chance
(When) will there be a significant change to timekeeping in the US?
Will the US actually stop daylight savings time changes this upcoming year?
4% chance
Will the US change to and retain permanent Daylight Savings Time before 2030?
48% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026
18% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?
27% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight in/by January 2025?
30% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
33% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?
42% chance