
What will be the reason cited the next time the doomsday clock moves closer to midnight?
20
1kṀ1510Dec 31
76%
Nuclear Weapons
74%
AI
54%
Climate
26%
Other else
24%
Other Technologic
17%
Other Natural (Astaroid, Natural Disasters etc)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
I have reuploaded it here with linked markets: https://manifold.markets/DavidShawe0kg/what-will-be-the-reason-cited-the-n-goriq2qdmv.
People are also trading
Related questions
What will be the reason cited the next time the doomsday clock moves closer to midnight?
In the next 5 years, will the Doomsday Clock reach 4 or more minutes to midnight?
10% chance
Will the AI Safety Clock reach 22 minutes to midnight by April 2025?
25% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?
52% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 10 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
35% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026
58% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 5 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
36% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?
24% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
42% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?
41% chance