Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?
6
150Ṁ1972050
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the Doomsday Clock that the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists's publish regularly be at or above 15 minutes to midnight, for any time before 01.01.2050? If the change happens at midnight it will also count. If the clock shows a higher time because of some error it doesn't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?
24% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 5 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
36% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 10 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
35% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?
52% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
29% chance
In the next 5 years, will the Doomsday Clock reach 4 or more minutes to midnight?
10% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
42% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026
37% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?
22% chance
In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday?
7% chance