What will be the reason cited the next time the doomsday clock moves closer to midnight?
38
1kṀ3410
Dec 31
50%
Nuclear Weapons
13%
AI
27%
Climate
4%
Other else
2%
Other Technologic
1.6%
Other Natural (Astaroid, Natural Disasters etc)
1.7%Other

The original I created here: https://manifold.markets/DavidShawe0kg/what-will-be-the-reason-cited-the-n

did not have the answers linked. This has fixed it.

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@DavidShawe0kg this can be resolved right?

https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/2025-statement/


IMO it'd be OK to resolve:

  • Just 'nuclear weapons' yes as it is listed first

  • Nuclear, climate change, other, AI (other being biological) with equal or descending weight (actually maybe AI > biological as it is cited twice, once as exacerbating biological and once more by itself)

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