MANIFOLD

What will be the reason cited the next time the doomsday clock moves closer to midnight?

Ṁ1kṀ3.4k

resolved Dec 4

100%50%

Nuclear Weapons

13%

27%

Climate

Other else

Other Technologic

1.6%

Other Natural (Astaroid, Natural Disasters etc)

1.7%Other

The original I created here: https://manifold.markets/DavidShawe0kg/what-will-be-the-reason-cited-the-n

did not have the answers linked. This has fixed it.

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Resolved 100% Nuclear, since it seemed like the headlining concern and the independent multiple-choice version allowed us to resolve everything that got mentioned.

@DavidShawe0kg Can this resolve?

@DavidShawe0kg this can be resolved right?

https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/2025-statement/

IMO it'd be OK to resolve:

Just 'nuclear weapons' yes as it is listed first
Nuclear, climate change, other, AI (other being biological) with equal or descending weight (actually maybe AI > biological as it is cited twice, once as exacerbating biological and once more by itself)