20
103
Ṁ694Ṁ410
2030
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question will resolve to YES if a strong evidence is found for life to have existed on Mars at any point in its history. The evidence should be direct, comparable to our evidence for life on Earth 3.4 Gy ago (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earliest_known_life_forms).
Lifeforms introduced by humans intentionally or otherwise don't count.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?
10% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2039?
35% chance
By 2100, will there be scientific consensus of past or present life on Mars?
30% chance
Will there be a manned mission to Mars before 2040?
30% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2035?
17% chance
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2030?
9% chance
Will evidence of life be discovered on Mars before 2040?
19% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2032?
7% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2038?
28% chance
By the start of 2033, will there be consensus that there has ever been life on Mars that was not brought there by humans?
7% chance