
Will we discover evidence for the past or present life on Mars?
5
360Ṁ1692030
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
15%
before 2030
17%
2030-2034
21%
2035-2039
47%
Credit to @OlegEterevsky for the question
Resolve to YES if a strong evidence is found for life to have existed on Mars at any point in its history. The evidence should be direct, comparable to our evidence for life on Earth 3.4 Gy ago (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earliest_known_life_forms).
Lifeforms introduced by humans intentionally or otherwise don't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2025?
3% chance
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2029?
15% chance
Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?
14% chance
Will proof of life of extraterrestrial origin be found by 2100?
75% chance
Will we discover evidence for the past or present life on Mars before 2030?
13% chance
Will evidence of life be discovered on Mars before 2040?
14% chance
By 2100, will there be scientific consensus of past or present life on Mars?
29% chance
Will we discover life on Mars before 2026?
7% chance
In 2050, will scientific consensus be that the Viking probes DID detect life on Mars?
17% chance
Will it be scientific consensus that there is currently microscopic life on Mars by 2034?
16% chance