By the start of 2033, will there be consensus that there has ever been life on Mars that was not brought there by humans?
19
1kṀ1775
2032
7%
chance

E. g. if we find bacteria and suspect that they got there on a human-made probe, I will not resolve YES.

Space
Mars
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Since there are Mars rocks on Earth, there are surely Earth rocks on Mars (even if it is a bit harder to get off Earth than Mars.)

Some of those Earth rocks had bacteria inside them. The only question is how many survived the trip, and what happened once they got there.

By the start of 2033, will there be consensus that there has ever been life on Mars that was not brought there by humans?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

Will it be scientific consensus that there is currently microscopic life on Mars by 2034?
16% chance
By 2100, will there be scientific consensus supporting the existence of past or present life on Mars?
29% chance
By the start of 2033, will there be consensus that there is life on Jupiter's moon, Europa, that was not brought there by humans?
6% chance
In 2050, will scientific consensus be that the Viking probes DID detect life on Mars?
17% chance
Will we discover evidence for the past or present life on Mars before 2030?
13% chance
Will any human successfully land on Mars by 2030?
7% chance
Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030?
10% chance
Will a human step foot on Mars by 2035?
37% chance
Will there be >100 humans living on Mars in 2063?
47% chance
Will there be a successful manned mission to Mars by 2030?
9% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy