By 2100, will there be scientific consensus supporting the existence of past or present life on Mars?
68
1kṀ13k
2100
29%
chance

Life must originate before 1971 (can't have arrived via a human prope, though panspermia by other means still qualifies).

Resolves with whatever manifold considers scientific consensus in 2100 - the equivalent of today’s "resolves with wikipedia".

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy