Will there be scientific consensus that life existed on Mars by 2045?
6
100Ṁ62
2044
67%
chance

Resolves yes if it is generally considered true in the scientific community that life existed on mars at some point in the past by Jan 1, 2045.

This is somewhat subjective, but any credible counterargument to life's existence or alternate explanation of phenomena that might indicate life will cause me to resolve this question No.

If there is a positive consensus before 2045, I will resolve this Yes early.

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