Will someone clone an extinct animal, such as a mammoth, by the end of the decade? | Manifold

Will someone clone an extinct animal, such as a mammoth, by the end of the decade?

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The “direwolves” are not really direwolves. They’re modern day wolves who had some genes edited to look a bit more like what we believe direwolves looked like.

In any case, I recommend adding a resolution criteria.

@Lemming To an extent, I agree. The word "clone" in the title does some heavy lifting.

@Lemming Their genes are edited based on actual dire wolf DNA samples, not just to be "a bit more like what ... direwolves looked like." But yes, it's very unclear whether this should count as an actual "extinct animal." Ben S had some sophisticated thoughts on this on his similar market, basically:
- estimate how close the cloned animals' DNA is to historic dire wolves compared to modern wolves
- estimate how much of the remaining DNA gap is functional/load bearing vs junk/unimportant
- estimate whether they could interbreed successfully with historic dire wolves

bought Ṁ50 YES

Resolves YES!

https://time.com/7274542/colossal-dire-wolf/

sold Ṁ10 NO

@bens will depend on criteria, at the moment they're still gene editing existing animals

sold Ṁ10 YES

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opened a Ṁ10 YES at 65% order

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