When will the next probe successfully descend in the Venusian atmosphere?
15
830Ṁ2837resolved Mar 10
Resolved
N/ABefore 2028
Resolved
N/ABefore 2030
Resolved
N/ABefore 2032
Resolved
N/ABefore 2034
Resolved
N/ABefore 2026
Resolved
N/ABefore 2036
The last human-made spacecraft that landed on Venus was Soviet Vega 2 in 1985.
The question will resolve positively as soon as it becomes known that any new spacecraft makes a landing on Venus or descends into the Venusian atmosphere. The probe must remain in communication after achieving the sub-sonic speed (<400 m/s) and the altitude <10 km above the surface.
Before this happens, each answer will be resolve to NO as soon as the respective time period is over.
I do not bet on my own markets.
Related question:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-the-next-probe-successful
Relaced with the new question:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-the-next-probe-successful-45fed400e274
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will the next probe successfully descend in the Venusian atmosphere?
When will the next probe successfully land on Venus?
Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?
28% chance
Will the Venus Life Finder enter Venus's atmosphere before 2026?
3% chance
Before which year will a Venus Sample Return Mission be successfully completed?
By 2035, will the presence of anomalously high levels of phosphine on Venus be confirmed by spacecraft?
40% chance
[Metaculus] Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030?
41% chance
Will another manmade probe cross the heliopause before 2075?
88% chance
Will it be scientific consensus that there is currently microscopic life on Venus by the end of 2034?
12% chance
When will the next mission to Saturn be launched?
2029