Will a new interstellar object be observed inside the solar system in 2024 ?
25
1kṀ22k
resolved Feb 28
Resolved
NO

So far two interstellar objects have been observed inside the solar system, 1I/'Oumuamua in 2017 and 2I/Borisov in 2019.

Will a new object designated with an I number be observed during 2024 ?

If the object is observed in 2024 but only receives the I designation at a later date, this will resolve YES. The market will remain open for a few months in 2025 for this reason, especially if there are likely candidates.

Interstellar Meteors (designated by IM) do not count for this market.

Space
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ365
2Ṁ311
3Ṁ100
4Ṁ69
5Ṁ49

People are also trading

Will planet 9 be discovered by 2026?
8% chance
Will a new interstellar object be observed inside the solar system in 2025 ?
23% chance
Will a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
10% chance
Will we discover a black hole in our solar system before 2030?
5% chance
Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075?
75% chance
Will we detect extraterrestrial intelligent life in the universe by 2124?
42% chance
Will an exomoon be discovered by the end of 2025?
42% chance
Will we discover extraterrestrial life (past or present) anywhere in the solar system by EOY 2100?
15% chance
Will a man made object sent into space after market creation leave the solar system before 2030?
3% chance
Will alien technological artefacts be discovered in the Solar System through 2050?
11% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy