@firstuserhere Why? Do you think there's a 1% chance this resolves NO?

@jack "This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets" - by buying at 99, im testing people's willingness to hold large amounts of mana in a market which wont profit them thaat much at this point. If they sell, I sell my NOs, and profit. I'm not buying NO w.r.t the market's resolution but its predicted behavior by me - that many people will sell their YES shares temporarily before close

@jack does that make sense? Or am i just confusing myself here

@firstuserhere Yes, that's correct, that's a reasonable method.

@firstuserhere That primarily makes sense for people who have held for less than a few months, right? After that, the bulk of their funds have already been returned as loans.

@Jason yep! And also newcomers who might be influenced to buy a tiny bit of NO

Link to fee reference:

https://outsidetheasylum.blog/manifold-markets-faq/

@Irigi There isn't a fee, there used to be and it was removed.

@jack there used to be a fee? daaamn, there used to be a fee for commenting! also, love the section here about insider trading