Will aliens make a public debut before 2030?
➕
Plus
39
Ṁ7285
2030
11%
chance

Most believe that "first contact" has happened already. When will the aliens finally publicly say hello to us on national television?

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Ṁ1,000
and
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predictedYES

Manifold requested that I resolve this so I did

predictedNO

All good! You must have left the default market close date on, and then Manifold incorrectly told you to resolve it. I've set the close date for the end of 2029 now!

predictedYES

@Joshua 🙏

predictedNO

@god_is_an_alien What did you solve the fermi paradox or something? Doesn't seem like this should be resolved yet.

predictedNO

@Joshua strongly agree

predictedNO

@Joshua The oddest thing is that OP lost mana here.

Maybe they mislicked? This is a tiny market but just out of principle I am inclined to unresolve or N/A it, which I believe I am authorized to do if the creator does not object.

predictedNO

@Joshua I think you should unresolve the market. That way, it has a chance to properly resolve in 2030 or 2031 as I had been expecting.

predictedNO

@duck_master I've done so.

When a government does a fake first contact/ public debut will you resolve as YES or NO?

predictedYES
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