Will any former Conservative leader endorse any Conservative leadership candidate?
➕
Plus
15
Ṁ6043
resolved Oct 10
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if any person who has been a permanent leader of the UK Conservative Party provides a clear endorsement of any of the current leadership candidates that remain in the race. The endorsement must take place BEFORE the candidate is locked in as the winner, either:

  • because they have won

  • All their competitors have stood down

  • Their odds on this leadership market have settled at above 90% for longer than three days.

Living former Conservative leaders:

  • John Major

  • William Hague

  • Iain Duncan Smith

  • Michael Howard

  • David Cameron

  • Theresa May

  • Boris Johnson

  • Liz Truss

  • Rishi Sunak

Current leadership candidates:

  • Kemi Badenoch

  • Robert Jenrick

  • James Cleverly

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
filled a Ṁ1,750 YES at 99.0% order

Resolves YES,

has endorsed Kemi Badenoch.

Just over three weeks to go on this. If I had to guess I'd say we shouldn't expect endorsements from Major, Hague, Howard, May or Sunak. IDS and Cameron are potentials, although I suspect Cameron might realise his influence in the party is on the wane. That leaves Johnson and Truss, who are both wild cards who might well want to feel like they have influence on the party. And would any candidate actually want the endorsement of Liz Truss?

bought Ṁ100 YES

@Noit thankfully for my position, Truss has the tendency to speak her mind in spite of whether it's wanted or wise 😂

opened a Ṁ250 NO at 40% order

Created off the back of a discussion about former leadership endorsements and how these might be hard to get and also net negative with an increasingly anti-establishment party membership.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules