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Policies as set out in Labour’s July 2024 manifesto. Resolve YES at the point there Office for National Statistics or a similar independent agency provides evidence that the target has been met. Otherwise resolves NO when Parliament is dissolved for the first general election held after 4th July 2024.
All resolve based on achievements of Parliament regardless of parliamentary makeup, i.e. all targets remain in place if the Conservatives win or if there is a hung parliament.
@Noit @traders need a bit of advice here. I thought this was GP appointments, but on review of the manifesto, the wording is actually "2 million NHS operations, scans, and appointments every year; that is 40,000 more appointments every week" in the manifesto. Labour are claiming this target has been achieved, but only based on figures from July to November, with further figures not yet having been made available.
Can anyone give a good reason why I should not resolve this one YES now? The only arguments I can see are:
1) people were trading on GP appointments specifically (which I listed in error and is not a manifesto commitment) and so we should hold out to see if that is achieved, but again, it's not actually a manifesto commitment and is unlikely to be met given that GP appointments are only one part of all NHS appointments. In which case I think the only sensible alternative would be for me to resolve N/A.
2) Meeting this standard for only six months and not a full year, we should wait for a full year before resolving this.
Both seem a bit weak given that the pledge has been met, unless the NHS sees significant slippage in these stats in the following six months of data.