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When will Artemis II launch?
32
Ṁ1kṀ36k
Dec 31
June 19, 2026
70%
Before 2026-04-01
92%
Before 2026-06-01
93%
Before 2026-08-01
94%
Before 2026-10-01
96%
Before 2027-01-01

Resolves YES based on the date that the Artemis II SLS vehicle leaves the launchpad under its own thrust. Resolves based on Houston local time.

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If it launches, what is the probability that all astronauts return to the surface of Earth alive?

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