When will Artemis II launch?
27
1kṀ33k
Dec 31
April 28, 2026
1%
Before 2026-02-01
51%
Before 2026-04-01
87%
Before 2026-06-01
88%
Before 2026-08-01
90%
Before 2026-10-01
93%
Before 2027-01-01

Resolves YES based on the date that the Artemis II SLS vehicle leaves the launchpad under its own thrust. Resolves based on Houston local time.

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If it launches, what is the probability that all astronauts return to the surface of Earth alive?

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