Resolves according to the budget speech itself, items will not resolve based on leaks or on information released post-budget, except in the case of a question which is difficult to resolve based on the speech which is clarified in supplementary announcements.
“Any increase in…” questions will resolve on any change that directly increases a tax rate, or changes to e.g. bands or eligibility. May resolve 50% if a change results in some taxpayers paying more and some paying less.
Update 2025-08-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The "Increase in VAT rate" option refers specifically to changes in the VAT rate itself, not to extending the scope of VAT to previously exempt goods.
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@Noit could easily see this going either way. On the one hand, they need revenue from somewhere and it's a tax they've not promised not to raise, but on the other hand it doesn't raise much and it tends to upset people
@Noit can I clarify: would extending the scope of VAT resolve this YES? E.g. if some good that currently has 0% VAT was given the standard 20%, is that an "increase in VAT"? Or is it only if the standard rate is increased from 20%?
Might improve clarity to mention it's the UK budget in the title in addition to just in the tags, since the site is mostly non-brits