What will be true of the UK government November 2025 Budget?
8
1.3kṀ760
Nov 26
72%
Any change to Council Tax
69%
Income Tax threshold freeze continued/extended
59%
Reduction in ISA contribution limits and/or a cap on total ISA contributions
59%
Introduction of Inheritance Tax (IHT) on currently-exempt categories (eg. agricultural land and family businesses)
59%
Reduction in pension tax-free lump sum
59%
Reduction or elimination of BAD Relief from Capital Gains Tax (CGT)
59%
Any change to Private Residence Relief from Capital Gains Tax (CGT)
59%
Introduction of a Gift Tax to replace or complement Inheritance Tax (IHT)
59%
Any tax increase specifically targeting vapes
59%
National Insurance Contributions for landlords is introduced
57%
Capital Gains 'Exit Tax' on individuals leaving the UK
56%
Capital Gains Tax (CGT) Increase
54%
Increase in ISA contribution limits or new flavour of ISA announced (not British ISA)
54%
Property tax
50%
Reduction in Capital Gains tax-free allowance
50%
Pension taxes reversed i.e. taxable on the way in, tax-free on the way out
50%
Fiscal rules (or interpretation) changed to allow for more investment
50%
There will be at least 2 "surprises" (another question <10% that resolves YES or >90% resolves NO)
50%
Stamp duty increase (non-UK buyers)
50%
Free prescriptions scrapped for 60- to 65-year-olds

The next UK budget is due to be held on 26 November. Which of the above statements will be true about what is unveiled on budget day?

When resolving the "$tax increase" options:

  • I will resolve YES if:

    • The % rate of tax goes up (i.e. paying more)

    • The threshold at which it is paid goes down (i.e. more people pay / pay more)

  • If the tax is changed such that there are winners and losers (e.g. an increase in % rate but also an increase in threshold) then I will resolve 50%.

  • I will resolve NO if:

    • The % rate of tax goes down

    • The threshold at which it is paid goes up

Economics
UK politics
UK
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