What will be true of the UK government November 2025 Budget?

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resolved Nov 27

Resolved

YES

Fuel Duty Increase

Resolved

YES

Any change to Council Tax

Resolved

YES

Reduction in ISA contribution limits and/or a cap on total ISA contributions

Resolved

YES

Introduction of employers National Insurance (NI) contributions on employer pension contributions

Resolved

YES

Introduction of Inheritance Tax (IHT) on currently-exempt categories (eg. agricultural land and family businesses)

Resolved

YES

Business rates change

Resolved

YES

Increase in employer National Insurance (NI) contributions

Resolved

YES

Any change to Non-Domiciled tax status

Resolved

YES

Income Tax threshold freeze continued/extended

Resolved

YES

Change to the tax treatment of non-fossil fuel cars

Resolved

YES

Reduction or elimination of BAD Relief from Capital Gains Tax (CGT)

Resolved

YES

There will be at least 2 "surprises" (another question <10% that resolves YES or >90% resolves NO)

Resolved

YES

Reform of "carried interest" tax loophole

Resolved

YES

Increased rate of income tax or imposition of National Insurance (NI) on non-work income (like pensions)

Resolved

YES

Any tax increase specifically targeting vapes

Resolved

YES

Property tax

Resolved

YES

Removal of two-child benefit cap

Resolved

YES

Any mansion tax

Resolved

Income / PAYE Tax increase

Resolved

National Insurance (NI) Increase for employees

The next UK budget is due to be held on 26 November. Which of the above statements will be true about what is unveiled on budget day?

When resolving the "$tax increase" options:

I will resolve YES if:
- The % rate of tax goes up (i.e. paying more)
- The threshold at which it is paid goes down (i.e. more people pay / pay more)
If the tax is changed such that there are winners and losers (e.g. an increase in % rate but also an increase in threshold) then I will resolve 50%.
I will resolve NO if:
- The % rate of tax goes down
- The threshold at which it is paid goes up

Economics

UK politics

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