Will someone disrupt the global semiconductor supply chain by disrupting high-purity quartz mines by EOY 2028?
30
217
700
2029
10%
chance

Inspired by this tweet.

This will resolve YES if by the end of 2028, someone causes a significant disruption in the global semiconductor supply chain by the disruption of high-purity quartz mines. If an attack happens close to the resolution date, trading will be extended to see the effects.

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I don't think that text is very realistic. The US isn't the only place with a high-purity quartz mine, and it is very difficult to contaminate them even if you have a crop duster with that specific powder. This is a very strong hypothetical.

bought Ṁ45 NO

To be clear, you don't mean "disrupt" in the silicon-valley sense (i.e. make a splash in the industry). You mean like, physically intervene in the mining process. Right?

reposted

Amazing profit opportunity. Buy crop duster, buy weird powder, destroy global economy, bet this market up a bunch, make ~$5 mana profit.

Worth it.

@Pykess also the mana is worth more because we're less likely to go extinct.

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