Will an apocalypse cult attempt to attack a TSMC facility before 2031?
13
Ṁ100Ṁ6212031
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that an apocalypse cult has tried to attack a TSMC facility before January 1st 2031.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will there be an apocalyptic event before 2030?
13% chance
Will an apocalypse cult attack a civilian or military target in Taiwan before 2031?
36% chance
Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?
24% chance
Will there be a trend spike for the term "apocalypse cult" before 2030?
55% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
83% chance
Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan
33% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
33% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
59% chance
What will TSMC market cap be at the end of 2027?
Will C.C. Wei (CEO of TSMC) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
8% chance
Sort by:
falun gong has a more explicit anti-technology eschatological view:
https://time.com/archive/6954898/interview-with-li-hongzhi-2/
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be an apocalyptic event before 2030?
13% chance
Will an apocalypse cult attack a civilian or military target in Taiwan before 2031?
36% chance
Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?
24% chance
Will there be a trend spike for the term "apocalypse cult" before 2030?
55% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
83% chance
Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan
33% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
33% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
59% chance
What will TSMC market cap be at the end of 2027?
Will C.C. Wei (CEO of TSMC) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
8% chance