Will we mine material in space to be sold on earth by 2026?

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Space defined as outside the earth's atmosphere.

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Any feasible mining tech we used for it (e.g. robots), if it launched this afternoon, is unlikely to even arrive on target by 2026, much less get a shipment back to earth in the same time frame.

predictedYES 1y

@AndrewHartman The moon?

predictedNO 1y

@ibbi I'll be honest, I'd assumed that wouldn't count, since to a first approximation that seems like it's "on the moon" not "in space." Maybe you should add some clarification to the description?

predictedYES 1y

@AndrewHartman That’s odd i dont have the same intuition, do you also think of GPS satellites as “not in space”?

Thanks, edited the description!

predictedNO 1y

@ibbi I mean, they're in orbit, seems pretty natural. My inclination there is because the moon is a sufficiently massive celestial body to keep you on it by its own gravity. I wouldn't consider Mars' surface to be "in space" either, y'know?