Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections
33
100Ṁ3075
2029
70%
chance

This market will resolve to YES if the AfD wins the most seats in the next German federal election (expected in 2029).

This market will resolve to NO if any other party wins more seats than the AfD in the next German federal election.

If there is a tie for the most seats between the AfD and another party, this market will resolve to YES.

The resolution will be based on the official election results as reported by the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) of German

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Elections: World
Europe
Germany
German Politics
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@NinoSchneider Will CDU and CSU count as one (the Union) or two different parties?

@Primer @NinoSchneider can we get some clarification on this?

@Primer it wil count as they appear on the ballot. So they will most likely be counted as 2. The only way they will be counted as 1 if they decide to officially merge.

Oh wait never mind, im an idiot lol. They will count as 1, unless they stop being the union

bought Ṁ40 NO

@NinoSchneider Cool, appreciate the clarification

sold Ṁ58 YES

@NinoSchneider Oh come on

@Primer sup?

@NinoSchneider I had bought Yes on your first clarification and had to sell at a loss after your 2nd clarification.

opened a Ṁ50 YES at 41% order

@NinoSchneider You should edit the description

@NinoSchneider You still should edit the description. The AI added the wrong parts to the criteria.

Can @mods edit descriptions? The AI added a clarification which was made by mistake and didn't add the creator's revision. Creator unresponsive.

@Primer done

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