Will Manifold think Trump's threat to democracy was overblown at the end of 2025?
Plus
39
แน16602025
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
When this market closes, I will make a poll on Manifold with the question, "Was Trump's threat to U.S. democracy overblown during the 2024 U.S. presidential campaign?" The response options will be yes, no, and see results. This market will resolve to whichever of yes or no has the most votes at the end of 2025. I will reopen this market after the poll is made. I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold crash during America's election night/morning?
63% chance
If Trump is elected president, will Manifold think he made a serious attempt to remain in charge after 4 years are up?
39% chance
Will Manifold or FiveThirtyEight be more confident about the actual winner of the 2024 US presidential election?
Will Manifold think Nate Silver had a bad take before the end of 2024?
53% chance
How accurately will Manifold predict the 2024 Presidential Election?
Will a Manifold user show up in the same picture as Donald Trump before the end of 2024?
42% chance
Will Manifold be in the NYT again before the end of 2024?
63% chance
Will a Manifold mod blatantly abuse their power by the end of 2024?
27% chance
Will a Manifold user show up in the same picture as Joe Biden before the end of 2024?
42% chance
Will Manifold be subject to a DDoS attack before the end of 2025?
70% chance