Will Manifold think Trump's threat to democracy was overblown at the end of 2025?
56
1kṀ2700Dec 1
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
When this market closes, I will make a poll on Manifold with the question, "Was Trump's threat to U.S. democracy overblown during the 2024 U.S. presidential campaign?" The response options will be yes, no, and see results. This market will resolve to whichever of yes or no has the most votes at the end of 2025. I will reopen this market after the poll is made. I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Mr. Donald Trump join Manifold Markets before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Manifold consider the 2020 election “free and fair” at the end of 2025?
73% chance
Will Manifold think Trump made a serious attempt to remain in charge at the end of his term?
38% chance
At the end of 2025, will Manifold think things have changed for the worse for us as a society?
61% chance
If Trump wins, will Manifold users vote that his performance has been better than they expected by the midterms?
41% chance
Will Manifold be subject to a DDoS attack before the end of 2025?
70% chance
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
31% chance
Will Manifold be taken over by any other ideological group before 2028?
18% chance
Conditional on Trump assuming the presidency in 2025, will he be ousted by a military coup?
7% chance