Resolution Criteria

The market resolves YES if Adrian Gonzales is found guilty on any of the 29 counts of child abandonment or endangerment. The market resolves NO if he is acquitted on all counts, if there is a mistrial, hung jury, or a dismissal of any kind. A judgement not withstanding the verdict will be ignored and the actual verdict of the jury will determine the resolution. Resolution will be determined by the jury verdict in the trial being held in Corpus Christi, Texas, with Judge Sid Harle presiding. The verdict will be verified through official court records or major news outlets reporting the final jury decision. Evidence in the trial began 6 January, 2026, and is expected to last 2 weeks.

Background

Gonzales is a former Uvalde, Texas school police officer accused of not doing more to save lives in the 2022 massacre that left 19 students and two teachers dead at Robb Elementary School. Prosecutors say Gonzales failed to "engage, distract, or delay the shooter" and did not follow his active-shooter training to confront the gunman. Gonzales could be sentenced to a maximum of two years in prison if he's found guilty.

Considerations

This trial is only the second prosecution of a police officer for their actions during a school shooting. Former school resource officer Scot Peterson was acquitted of wrongdoing after he stayed outside Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida, while a gunman was inside, shooting 17 people dead and injuring 17 more in February 2018. The precedent from Peterson's acquittal may be relevant to how jurors evaluate Gonzales' conduct during the response.