![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Fstrutheo%252F9acb5413ff24.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030)
Basic
27
แน2.0k2031
90%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves 50% if neither happens by the end of 2030
Get แน600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Tate has charges in both Romania and the UK, IIRC, so I am mainly betting that he will be convicted on at least one of those before Alec Baldwin gets convicted of anything.
If they both live the rest of their lives unconvicted, I would expect this to resolve NO at some point, but I would sell and cut my losses within the next few months if Tate gets off or seems likely to.
Baldwin's case was dismissed with prejudice yesterday: https://apnews.com/article/alec-baldwin-rust-shooting-hutchins-eb3059c696a9aee5cb86967e27d8f3bb
Related questions
Related questions
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking?
49% chance
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of any of the charges he was detained for on the 29th of December 2022
73% chance
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty in Romanian court by the end of 2024
25% chance
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking?
60% chance
Will Andrew Tate appear in court in the UK in 2024?
36% chance
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of at least one count of human trafficking?
83% chance
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of rape or human trafficking in the UK?
74% chance
Will Andrew Tate spend more than 1 year in prison before 2027?
77% chance
When will Andrew Tate be convicted of human trafficking?
will Andrew Tate take a Plea deal during his Romania trial?
29% chance