Will the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide? | Manifold

Will the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?

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France is seeing civil unrest across many cities since Tuesday 2023-06-27 as a policeman shot Nahel, a 17yo who was driving without a licence in Nanterre (Paris suburb):

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/29/world/europe/france-riots-nahel-shooting.html

The policeman who shot his gun was just placed in custody and charged with homicide volontaire (first degree murder):

https://www.francebleu.fr/infos/faits-divers-justice/mort-de-nahel-a-nanterre-le-policier-auteur-du-tir-est-mis-en-examen-et-place-en-detention-provisoire-6108318

This market resolves YES if the first court who judges the case concludes guilty of murder (voluntary or not), resolves NO if deemed innocent (regardless of reason, e.g. in case of non-lieu).

Mort de Nahel : le policier mis en examen pour homicide volontaire et placé en détention provisoire

Conformément aux réquisitions du parquet, le policier, auteur du tir qui a tué le jeune Nahel, 17 ans, mardi à Nanterre, a été mis en examen ce jeudi soir. Cet homme de 38 ans a également été placé en détention provisoire.

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bought Ṁ100 NO

I always buy no on "will x cop face any consequences"

bought Ṁ328 NO

looks like no since charges were downgraded

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