This market is part of the Humans v Bots Battle 2024, where AI forecasters will duke it out on the most important world questions of 2024. Can you beat the bots and snag part of the 250,000 Mana (~$2.5k) prize?

Remake of https://manifold.markets/ICRainbow/will-israel-deploy-iron-beam-defenc, about 2024 instead of 2023.

The market resolves YES on a successful interception documented, not just announced. Although even an isolated deployment would suffice.

There have been claims this has already happened in 2023, but commenters in the original market seem convinced they are not real; perhaps they are about Iron Dome only, not Iron Beam.