A nuclear site is any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil.
Such a strike must be widely assumed to be perpetrated by Israel and must cause clear physical damage as a direct goal of the attack. It must take place after the creation of this market and before 12/31/2026. Will resolve according to time the attack took place, not time of reporting.
If there is ambiguity I will use my personal best judgement. I will not bet on this market.
Update 2026-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Covert operations (including operations conducted within Iran) will count toward resolution, provided there is consensus among reputable mainstream media that the attack was perpetrated by Israel, even if Israel doesn't officially admit to it.
Cyber sabotage will also be considered. The same mainstream media consensus requirement applies, and the creator will evaluate the scale of damage using their best judgment.
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@someoneR5c8l yes, covert will be considered, but a consensus of reputable main stream media must be that the attack was from Israel. Even if Israel doesn't admit to it.
Cyber sabatage will also be considered, earlier point about mainstream media will apply here too and I will also look at the scale of damage and apply my best judgement
