Resolution Criteria
A “Yes” resolution requires credible confirmation that before January 1, 2026 Israel conducted at least one nuclear detonation intended to damage or destroy an Iranian nuclear facility (e.g., Fordow, Natanz, Arak, or similar sites). “Tactical” is defined here as a nuclear device with a yield generally understood to be less than 50 kilotons.
Acceptable evidence (any one of the following):
Official admission – Israeli political or military leadership publicly acknowledges using a nuclear device against an Iranian nuclear site.
IAEA, CTBTO, or allied‑government confirmation – A statement by the International Atomic Energy Agency, the Comprehensive Nuclear‑Test‑Ban Treaty Organization, or another authoritative body attributing the nuclear explosion to Israel.
Independent forensic proof – Open-source data, radiological data, seismic data, satellite imagery, and blast-wave analysis that collectively demonstrate a nuclear yield > 100 tons TNT equivalent (well beyond the upper bound of conventional explosives) at or immediately adjacent to an Iranian nuclear facility, plus evidence linking delivery to Israeli forces (flight paths, missile debris, etc.).
On-site sampling – IAEA or trusted third-party environmental samples from the struck facility containing unambiguous nuclear fission products indicative of an Israeli device.
1,000