Will any country implement a universal basic income by 2026?
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resolved Nov 28
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The Wikipedia entry on the Marshall Islands disrobes the program as universal basic income:

“In November 2025, the Ministry of Finance announced ENRA, a universal basic income program,“

bought Ṁ100 YES

Title does not include the “full” term people are using to mean “enough to live off of.” No description, no creator comments, creator did not respond to tag two days ago, probably resolves Yes. @mods

@Panfilo

@creator shows as “active today”. Shouldnt we wait a bit?

I think the @creator is no longer on manifold. At this point we are betting over interpretation, and questions with the exact same title and resolution criteria but with a different year have already resolved yes.

The Marshall Islands plan seems similar to the Alaska dividend than a true UBI: it is nice to have for the recipients but not enough to live on

@LuisPedroCoelho does a UBI have to be enough to live on?

@MaxE Wikipedia says a "full basic income" is enough UBI to raise everyone above the poverty line even if they had no other income.

@MaxE in the Wikipedia they include both
- Partial UBI (below poverty line)
and
- Full UBI (above poverty line)
within the Universal Basic Income article

I've seen other markets in Manifold that specify in the title "Full" and in the description "above poverty line". If this requirement is not explicit, I would assume by default that small payments would also count, but the @creator would have to clarify

For upper-middle-income countries, the World Bank poverty line is:

  • $8.30 per person per day (PPP)
    That is about:

  • $250/month

  • ~$3,000/year

The Marshall UBI is 800$ per year.

@LuisPedroCoelho @NcyRocks Since there's no clarification in the market, and since the Marshall Island rule is being reported as an example of UBI, it makes sense to say that by a standard reading of the the rules, this an example of UBI. It should resolve yes.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Hmm. Recognized by the UN. 122 embasssies.

Do you have a minimum amount in mind?

Will any country implement a universal basic income by 2026?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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